Our Published Work

Read the work before you speak to us

The GCI engine publishes real, dated, sourced research in public. Every claim carries an evidence tier and every report closes with a stated position. You can read all of it in full, free, before any conversation about a mandate.

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Published Research

The method is on the record

Most firms ask you to take the process on trust. Ours is published. The three reports below are live pages on this site, produced end to end by the GCI engine and dated on the day they went out. They are not samples, mockups or illustrative extracts. Open any one of them and you will see the same structure a mandate receives: sourced figures, an evidence tier against each claim, the conditions that would change the position, and a stated verdict at the end.

Each is a Sector Screen. It assesses a market, corridor or deal type against current public sources. It does not assess a named private company.

SELECTIVE SECTOR SCREEN ·

GCC Investment into Ohio 2026: What Gulf Capital Can Actually Access

Ohio is a real but narrow corridor for Gulf capital, reachable in practice through U.S.-managed vehicles in industrial logistics, private credit and non-sensitive real assets. The report sets out what closes the route as well as what opens it.

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ATTRACTIVE SECTOR SCREEN ·

GCC Distressed & Special Situations Credit 2026: Where to Deploy

The distressed opportunity in the Gulf is investable but narrow: developer paper, mid-market restructurings and Saudi contractor workouts, accessed through ADGM and DIFC credit structures where recovery is enforceable but structure-sensitive.

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SELECTIVE SECTOR SCREEN ·

UAE Institutional Capital Reality Check 2026: What Blackstone's Expansion Actually Signals

A large manager arriving in the UAE is widely read as broad validation of the market. The report separates the part of that signal that is real, which is selective conviction in specific platform assets, from the part that is not.

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Open the full research library More than 530 reports have been run through the engine. The library is free to read and adds new work as it publishes.
Worked Examples

Worked examples (modelled scenarios, not client engagements)

These pages walk through the GCI method on modelled deal scenarios. They are illustrations of how a mandate is screened, built from public information and stated assumptions. They are not client engagements and do not assess any named private company. Mandate verdicts shown on these pages use the private client scale explained on the verdicts page.

WORKED EXAMPLE · MODELLED SCENARIO

Boutique Hotel Acquisition, Dubai Marina

A modelled AED 22M acquisition of a 48-room boutique hotel: operator settlement, handover timing and the occupancy ramp.

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WORKED EXAMPLE · MODELLED SCENARIO

Greenfield Aesthetic Clinic, Abu Dhabi

A modelled AED 12.5M aesthetic medicine clinic on Al Reem Island: licensing, physician recruitment and breakeven timing.

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WORKED EXAMPLE · MODELLED SCENARIO

JV Logistics Hub, Riyadh

A modelled SAR 85M Grade-A logistics joint venture between a European operator and a Saudi partner, with SIDF project finance.

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WORKED EXAMPLE · MODELLED SCENARIO

Japanese F&B Master Franchise, UAE

A modelled six-outlet Japanese food and beverage master franchise across Dubai and Abu Dhabi over 36 months.

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WORKED EXAMPLE · MODELLED SCENARIO

Space AI Satellite Constellation JV, Abu Dhabi

A modelled satellite constellation joint venture in Abu Dhabi over a 5 to 10 year horizon, with the conditions that would change the view.

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WORKED EXAMPLE · MODELLED SCENARIO

GCC Space Economy Entry Strategy

A modelled AED 20M to 100M entry into the GCC commercial space economy, 2026 to 2033, with five options ranked.

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How to Read One

What a reader can check for themselves

A report is only proof if a reader can audit it. Two things make that possible, and both are visible on every published page.

Evidence Tiers
Every claim is labelled by how well it is known

A figure from an audited filing and a figure from a press release are not the same kind of fact, so the reports do not present them the same way. Six tiers are applied throughout.

VERIFIED REPORTED STATED ESTIMATED ASSUMED LEGAL
The Position
Every report ends somewhere, and says what would move it

Published Sector Screens close with a sector view and a dated list of the developments that would change it, so a reader can test the call later against what actually happened.

Work commissioned on a specific mandate resolves to a private client verdict, given only inside the client's own report. Published research uses the public scale:

ATTRACTIVE SELECTIVE NEUTRAL UNATTRACTIVE AVOID

A record of how those calls have held up is kept at the verdict ledger.

Client Confidentiality

Named client work is published only with written permission

A completed engagement is published as a named case study when, and only when, the client gives written permission for it. Allocators who ask us to screen a target are entitled to expect that the fact of the mandate, the target and the finding stay between us. That standard does not relax because it would be useful marketing.

Gulf Commercial Insights is DIFC-registered as a technology company, not a DFSA-regulated financial services firm. The reports are screening intelligence and are not investment advice.

Questions about the research or the method: difc@gulfcapitalintelligence.com.

Sector Diligence Guides

Go deeper on the sectors behind this research

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